Awoniyi
FWDTaiwo Awoniyi · Coventry City · £5.5m · 0.8% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
4.4
xPts 5
7.3
Rating
12
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Awoniyi here
- ▸Home vs HUL: we project COV for 1.28 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸16% start probability, 26 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.43 xG90, 0.13 xA90 (shrunk to 20 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 66/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.33 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs HUL
| Appearance points | 1.05 |
| Goal points | 0.46 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | HUL (H) | 26.3 | 11% | 6% | 1.6 |
| 3 | MCI (A) | 26.3 | 5% | 1% | 1.3 |
| 4 | BHA (H) | 26.3 | 8% | 3% | 1.5 |
| 5 | NFO (A) | 26.3 | 7% | 3% | 1.4 |
| 6 | NEW (H) | 26.3 | 9% | 3% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.43
xA90
0.13
xGI90
0.56
BPS90
21.4
DefCon90
4.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.30
Minutes
20
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARS (A) | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers