Senesi
DEFMarcos Senesi Barón · Spurs · £6.0m · 7.8% owned · 3 pts
xPts GW
3.7
xPts 3
11.3
xPts 5
18.6
Rating
69
BUYLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Senesi here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸87% start probability, 79 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 20%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.20 expected bonus points
- ▸18.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (3.09 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 1.69 |
| Goal points | 0.21 |
| Assist points | 0.27 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.81 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.98 |
| Bonus points | 0.20 |
| Goals conceded | -0.30 |
| Cards / other | -0.15 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 78.6 | 4% | 20% | 3.7 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 78.6 | 3% | 22% | 3.7 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 78.6 | 3% | 24% | 3.9 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 78.6 | 4% | 26% | 4.0 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 78.6 | 2% | 15% | 3.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
2
Median
4
Ceiling (90th)
8
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)35%
Chance of 5+ points32%
Chance of 10+ points3%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.14
BPS90
15.2
DefCon90
11.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.87
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers