Robertson
DEFAndrew Robertson · Spurs · £4.5m · 3.9% owned · 3 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.6
xPts 5
7.6
Rating
23
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Robertson here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 39 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 10%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.68 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 0.87 |
| Goal points | 0.15 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.39 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.05 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 38.7 | 3% | 10% | 1.5 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 38.7 | 2% | 10% | 1.5 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 38.7 | 2% | 12% | 1.6 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 38.7 | 3% | 12% | 1.6 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 38.7 | 2% | 7% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)83%
Chance of 5+ points9%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.14
BPS90
15.8
DefCon90
6.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.87
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers