Vuskovic
DEFLuka Vušković · Brighton · £5.0m · 2.5% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.2
xPts 3
4.8
xPts 5
7.7
Rating
24
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Vuskovic here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 38 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 5%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.53 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 0.85 |
| Goal points | 0.14 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.22 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.08 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 37.9 | 2% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 37.9 | 4% | 15% | 1.8 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 37.9 | 4% | 15% | 1.8 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 37.9 | 2% | 7% | 1.3 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 37.9 | 3% | 12% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)89%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
17.2
DefCon90
6.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.29
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers