Davies
DEFBen Davies · Spurs · £4.0m · 1.1% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.5
xPts 3
1.5
xPts 5
2.5
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Davies here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸11% start probability, 11 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 3%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 69/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸2.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (0.63 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 0.32 |
| Goal points | 0.06 |
| Assist points | 0.02 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.11 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 10.5 | 1% | 3% | 0.5 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 10.5 | 1% | 3% | 0.5 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 10.5 | 1% | 3% | 0.5 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 10.5 | 1% | 3% | 0.5 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 10.5 | 1% | 2% | 0.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)95%
Chance of 5+ points2%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
15.8
DefCon90
7.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers