George Hemmings
MIDGeorge Hemmings · Aston Villa · £4.5m · 0.7% owned · 2 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
3.3
xPts 5
5.5
Rating
15
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank George Hemmings here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸37% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.09 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 53/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.23 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 0.79 |
| Goal points | 0.10 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 34.6 | 2% | 5% | 1.0 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 34.6 | 3% | 10% | 1.1 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 34.6 | 3% | 12% | 1.2 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 34.6 | 3% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 34.6 | 3% | 10% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)93%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.09
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.17
BPS90
13.5
DefCon90
7.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.77
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BHA (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers