Tel
MIDMathys Tel · Spurs · £6.0m · 0.5% owned · 2 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.3
Rating
26
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Tel here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸48% start probability, 45 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.14 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.39 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 0.99 |
| Goal points | 0.36 |
| Assist points | 0.21 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.11 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 44.5 | 7% | 11% | 1.7 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 44.5 | 6% | 12% | 1.6 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 44.5 | 7% | 14% | 1.7 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 44.5 | 7% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 44.5 | 5% | 8% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)80%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.14
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.28
BPS90
17.1
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.87
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers