Maddison
MIDJames Maddison · Spurs · £6.5m · 1.2% owned · 1 pts
🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Shoulder injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
3.7
xPts 5
6.2
Rating
6
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Maddison here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸18% start probability, 23 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.17 xG90, 0.16 xA90 (shrunk to 22 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 91/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸6.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (0.95 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 0.86 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 23.4 | 4% | 5% | 1.3 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 23.4 | 4% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 23.4 | 4% | 6% | 1.3 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 23.4 | 5% | 6% | 1.3 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 23.4 | 3% | 4% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.17
xA90
0.16
xGI90
0.32
BPS90
16.9
DefCon90
8.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.48
Minutes
22
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers