Gray
MIDArchie Gray · Spurs · £5.0m · 0.2% owned · 2 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.4
xPts 5
7.3
Rating
24
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Gray here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸52% start probability, 45 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 85 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 44/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.45 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 1.06 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.12 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 45.4 | 4% | 12% | 1.5 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 45.4 | 3% | 13% | 1.4 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 45.4 | 4% | 15% | 1.5 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 45.4 | 5% | 15% | 1.5 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 45.4 | 3% | 9% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.16
BPS90
14.7
DefCon90
7.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.63
Minutes
85
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers