Solanke
FWDDominic Solanke-Mitchell · Spurs · £6.0m · 1.3% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk🎯 Penalty Taker⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
1.9
xPts 3
5.5
xPts 5
9.1
Rating
22
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Solanke here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸24% start probability, 32 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.39 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 22 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 61/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 1.20 |
| Goal points | 0.57 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 32.2 | 13% | 7% | 1.9 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 32.2 | 11% | 7% | 1.8 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 32.2 | 13% | 8% | 1.9 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 32.2 | 14% | 9% | 1.9 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 32.2 | 9% | 5% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)82%
Chance of 5+ points13%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.39
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.47
BPS90
16.6
DefCon90
5.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.48
Minutes
22
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers