Mukiele
DEFNordi Mukiele · Sunderland · £5.5m · 2.6% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
4.6
xPts 5
7.4
Rating
22
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Mukiele here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸55% start probability, 44 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 12%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 42/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸7.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.35 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 1.11 |
| Goal points | 0.18 |
| Assist points | 0.13 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.47 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | -0.08 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 43.8 | 3% | 12% | 1.8 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 43.8 | 2% | 7% | 1.5 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 43.8 | 2% | 5% | 1.3 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 43.8 | 1% | 3% | 1.2 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 43.8 | 2% | 10% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)79%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.14
BPS90
16.3
DefCon90
8.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers