Hume
DEFTrai Hume · Sunderland · £4.5m · 6.5% owned · 2 pts
xPts GW
2.5
xPts 3
6.1
xPts 5
9.8
Rating
37
WATCHLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Hume here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸79% start probability, 63 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 79 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 17%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.12 expected bonus points
- ▸9.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (2.17 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 1.55 |
| Goal points | 0.28 |
| Assist points | 0.23 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.68 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.12 |
| Goals conceded | -0.22 |
| Cards / other | -0.14 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 63.1 | 5% | 17% | 2.5 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 63.1 | 3% | 11% | 1.9 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 63.1 | 2% | 8% | 1.7 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 63.1 | 2% | 5% | 1.4 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 63.1 | 3% | 14% | 2.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)68%
Chance of 5+ points23%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.16
BPS90
13.0
DefCon90
6.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.93
Minutes
79
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.3
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers