Meunier
DEFThomas Meunier · Sunderland · £4.5m · 0.3% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
3.4
xPts 5
5.4
Rating
12
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Meunier here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸37% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 8%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 53/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸5.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.20 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 0.80 |
| Goal points | 0.14 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.32 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | -0.04 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 35 | 2% | 8% | 1.3 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 35 | 2% | 5% | 1.1 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 35 | 1% | 4% | 1.0 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 35 | 1% | 2% | 0.9 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 35 | 2% | 7% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)86%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
14.1
DefCon90
6.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.80
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers