Rigg
MIDChris Rigg · Sunderland · £5.0m · 0.1% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
2.8
xPts 5
4.7
Rating
5
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Rigg here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸20% start probability, 22 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 10 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 63/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸4.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.93 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 0.74 |
| Goal points | 0.15 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 22.3 | 3% | 5% | 1.0 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 22.3 | 2% | 3% | 0.9 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 22.3 | 2% | 2% | 0.9 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 22.3 | 1% | 1% | 0.9 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 22.3 | 2% | 4% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)92%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.22
BPS90
15.4
DefCon90
7.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.90
Minutes
10
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers