Talbi
MIDChemsdine Talbi · Sunderland · £5.5m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.2
Rating
18
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Talbi here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸29% start probability, 37 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 31 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 58/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.49 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 1.32 |
| Goal points | 0.26 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.07 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 36.6 | 5% | 7% | 1.8 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 36.6 | 3% | 5% | 1.6 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 36.6 | 3% | 3% | 1.6 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 36.6 | 2% | 2% | 1.5 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 36.6 | 4% | 6% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.20
BPS90
13.8
DefCon90
6.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.41
Minutes
31
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers