Brobbey
FWDBrian Brobbey · Sunderland · £6.0m · 13.2% owned · 2 pts
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
4.6
xPts 5
7.5
Rating
23
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Brobbey here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸61% start probability, 41 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.32 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 66 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸7.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.24 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 1.04 |
| Goal points | 0.65 |
| Assist points | 0.09 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 41.1 | 15% | 9% | 1.8 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 41.1 | 10% | 6% | 1.4 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 41.1 | 8% | 4% | 1.4 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 41.1 | 7% | 3% | 1.3 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 41.1 | 11% | 7% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)80%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.32
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.38
BPS90
13.3
DefCon90
3.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.30
Minutes
66
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.3
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers