Isidor
FWDWilson Isidor · Sunderland · £5.5m · 0.9% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.9
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.2
Rating
16
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Isidor here
- ▸Home vs FUL: we project SUN for 1.54 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
- ▸22% start probability, 32 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.33 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 23 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 62/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.49 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs FUL
| Appearance points | 1.22 |
| Goal points | 0.51 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FUL (H) | 31.9 | 12% | 6% | 1.9 |
| 3 | BRE (A) | 31.9 | 8% | 4% | 1.6 |
| 4 | ARS (H) | 31.9 | 7% | 3% | 1.6 |
| 5 | MCI (A) | 31.9 | 6% | 2% | 1.5 |
| 6 | BHA (H) | 31.9 | 9% | 5% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)83%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.33
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.40
BPS90
18.4
DefCon90
4.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.39
Minutes
23
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IPS (A) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers