Maeda
MIDDaizen Maeda · Ipswich Town · £5.5m · 0.4% owned · 2 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
6.9
Rating
18
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Maeda here
- ▸Away vs MUN: we project IPS for 0.84 goals (our difficulty 4.4/5)
- ▸44% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.22 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 79 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 49/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.26 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at MUN
| Appearance points | 0.91 |
| Goal points | 0.26 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MUN (A) | 35.9 | 5% | 5% | 1.3 |
| 3 | LIV (H) | 35.9 | 6% | 4% | 1.3 |
| 4 | CRY (A) | 35.9 | 6% | 7% | 1.4 |
| 5 | EVE (A) | 35.9 | 6% | 6% | 1.3 |
| 6 | FUL (H) | 35.9 | 9% | 9% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)89%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.22
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.33
BPS90
13.9
DefCon90
8.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.72
Minutes
79
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.6
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUN (H) | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers