M.Sangaré
MIDMamadou Sangaré · Brentford · £5.6m · 7.2% owned · 14 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.6
xPts 5
7.5
Rating
23
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank M.Sangaré here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸44% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 75 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Overperforming xGI by 1.6 — some negative regression risk
- ▸Risk 49/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.6m (1.34 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 0.92 |
| Goal points | 0.21 |
| Assist points | 0.18 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.13 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 34.6 | 4% | 13% | 1.5 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 34.6 | 6% | 16% | 1.7 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 34.6 | 4% | 10% | 1.4 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 34.6 | 4% | 9% | 1.4 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 34.6 | 4% | 11% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.30
BPS90
20.3
DefCon90
9.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.56
Minutes
75
Starts
1
Form
14.0
PPM
14.0
G+A vs xGI
+1.6
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 75 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 14 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers