Gonzalo
FWDGonzalo García · Fulham · £6.0m · 3.1% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk🎯 Penalty Taker⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
2.3
xPts 3
6.5
xPts 5
11.0
Rating
33
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Gonzalo here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸47% start probability, 44 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.50 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.18 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 47/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸11.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.83 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 0.97 |
| Goal points | 1.02 |
| Assist points | 0.18 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.18 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 43.6 | 23% | 9% | 2.3 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 43.6 | 24% | 12% | 2.4 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 43.6 | 14% | 3% | 1.8 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 43.6 | 21% | 9% | 2.2 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 43.6 | 24% | 10% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)68%
Chance of 5+ points18%
Chance of 10+ points2%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.50
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.62
BPS90
19.7
DefCon90
4.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.24
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.3
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.73 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers