Stroud
MIDElliot Stroud · Hull City · £5.0m · 0.1% owned · 3 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.0
xPts 5
4.9
Rating
11
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Stroud here
- ▸Away vs COV: we project HUL for 1.30 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 70 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸4.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.99 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at COV
| Appearance points | 0.73 |
| Goal points | 0.15 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.07 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COV (A) | 29.8 | 3% | 7% | 1.1 |
| 3 | AVL (H) | 29.8 | 3% | 7% | 1.0 |
| 4 | CHE (A) | 29.8 | 2% | 2% | 0.9 |
| 5 | NEW (A) | 29.8 | 2% | 3% | 0.9 |
| 6 | EVE (H) | 29.8 | 3% | 6% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)91%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.21
BPS90
14.3
DefCon90
8.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.49
Minutes
70
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUN (H) | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers