Charles
MIDShea Charles · Fulham · £5.0m · 0.1% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.5
xPts 5
7.5
Rating
16
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Charles here
- ▸Away vs SUN: we project FUL for 1.46 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸18% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 23 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 65/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at SUN
| Appearance points | 1.18 |
| Goal points | 0.19 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SUN (A) | 29.6 | 4% | 5% | 1.5 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 29.6 | 4% | 7% | 1.6 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 29.6 | 2% | 1% | 1.4 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 29.6 | 3% | 5% | 1.5 |
| 6 | IPS (A) | 29.6 | 4% | 5% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.22
BPS90
14.6
DefCon90
8.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.12
Minutes
23
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers