Mendy
DEFNobel Mendy · Hull City · £4.0m · 2.7% owned · 15 pts
🔥 Hot Form⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
2.8
xPts 5
4.6
Rating
10
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Mendy here
- ▸Away vs COV: we project HUL for 1.30 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸34% start probability, 23 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.09 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 63 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 6%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 55/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸4.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (1.16 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at COV
| Appearance points | 0.63 |
| Goal points | 0.13 |
| Assist points | 0.03 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.24 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | -0.01 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COV (A) | 22.9 | 2% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 3 | AVL (H) | 22.9 | 2% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 4 | CHE (A) | 22.9 | 1% | 2% | 0.8 |
| 5 | NEW (A) | 22.9 | 2% | 3% | 0.8 |
| 6 | EVE (H) | 22.9 | 2% | 5% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.09
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.14
BPS90
19.8
DefCon90
8.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.23
Minutes
63
Starts
1
Form
15.0
PPM
15.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.7
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUN (H) | 63 | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 15 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers