Enciso
MIDJulio Enciso · Ipswich Town · £5.5m · 0.4% owned · 5 pts
🔥 Hot Form📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.4
xPts 5
5.8
Rating
14
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Enciso here
- ▸Away vs MUN: we project IPS for 0.84 goals (our difficulty 4.4/5)
- ▸44% start probability, 32 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.15 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 70 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 49/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸5.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.06 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at MUN
| Appearance points | 0.78 |
| Goal points | 0.16 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.03 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MUN (A) | 32 | 3% | 3% | 1.1 |
| 3 | LIV (H) | 32 | 4% | 3% | 1.1 |
| 4 | CRY (A) | 32 | 4% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 5 | EVE (A) | 32 | 4% | 4% | 1.1 |
| 6 | FUL (H) | 32 | 6% | 6% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)91%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.15
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.32
BPS90
17.3
DefCon90
8.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.81
Minutes
70
Starts
1
Form
5.0
PPM
5.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUN (H) | 70 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 5 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers