Ouattara
DEFAbdoul Ouattara · Ipswich Town · £4.0m · 1.0% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.7
xPts 3
2.2
xPts 5
3.7
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Ouattara here
- ▸Away vs MUN: we project IPS for 0.84 goals (our difficulty 4.4/5)
- ▸12% start probability, 16 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 10 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 2%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 69/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸3.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (0.93 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at MUN
| Appearance points | 0.61 |
| Goal points | 0.03 |
| Assist points | 0.02 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.06 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | -0.01 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MUN (A) | 16.3 | 1% | 2% | 0.7 |
| 3 | LIV (H) | 16.3 | 1% | 1% | 0.7 |
| 4 | CRY (A) | 16.3 | 1% | 2% | 0.8 |
| 5 | EVE (A) | 16.3 | 1% | 2% | 0.7 |
| 6 | FUL (H) | 16.3 | 1% | 3% | 0.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)97%
Chance of 5+ points1%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
15.7
DefCon90
7.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.27
Minutes
10
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUN (H) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers