Dedić
DEFAmar Dedic · Newcastle · £4.5m · 0.3% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
7.1
Rating
23
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Dedić here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸37% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 8%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 53/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸7.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.57 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 0.80 |
| Goal points | 0.11 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.33 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | -0.04 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 35 | 2% | 8% | 1.3 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 35 | 2% | 11% | 1.4 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 35 | 2% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 35 | 3% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 35 | 2% | 12% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
13.0
DefCon90
7.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.98
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers