David
FWDPromise David · Brighton · £6.0m · 0.3% owned · 0 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
0.9
xPts 3
3.3
xPts 5
5.3
Rating
11
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank David here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸25% start probability, 21 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.36 xG90, 0.15 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 61/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (0.88 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 0.57 |
| Goal points | 0.27 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 21.2 | 7% | 3% | 0.9 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 21.2 | 10% | 10% | 1.1 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 21.2 | 11% | 9% | 1.2 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 21.2 | 6% | 5% | 0.9 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 21.2 | 9% | 8% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.36
xA90
0.15
xGI90
0.50
BPS90
16.8
DefCon90
4.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers