Truffert
DEFAdrien Truffert · Bournemouth · £5.5m · 4.3% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening
xPts GW
3.1
xPts 3
8.5
xPts 5
12.8
Rating
50
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Truffert here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸88% start probability, 80 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.03 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 24%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.16 expected bonus points
- ▸12.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (2.33 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 1.71 |
| Goal points | 0.19 |
| Assist points | 0.18 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.95 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.28 |
| Bonus points | 0.16 |
| Goals conceded | -0.26 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 79.6 | 3% | 24% | 3.1 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 79.6 | 3% | 14% | 2.4 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 79.6 | 3% | 23% | 3.0 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 79.6 | 2% | 12% | 2.3 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 79.6 | 2% | 8% | 1.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)55%
Chance of 5+ points29%
Chance of 10+ points2%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.03
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
13.6
DefCon90
7.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.25
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers