
Wan-Bissaka
DEFAaron Wan-Bissaka · Aston Villa · £4.5m · 0.0% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
3.5
xPts 5
5.9
Rating
16
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Wan-Bissaka here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸37% start probability, 31 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.02 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 5%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 53/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.30 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 0.80 |
| Goal points | 0.02 |
| Assist points | 0.03 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.19 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | -0.05 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 30.7 | 0% | 5% | 1.0 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 30.7 | 1% | 10% | 1.2 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 30.7 | 1% | 12% | 1.3 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 30.7 | 0% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 30.7 | 1% | 10% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)93%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.02
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.06
BPS90
11.0
DefCon90
7.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
No match-by-match history available yet for this season — flagged as unavailable rather than estimated.
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers