Tavernier
MIDMarcus Tavernier · Bournemouth · £6.0m · 2.2% owned · 10 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
3.4
xPts 3
9.7
xPts 5
15.4
Rating
54
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Tavernier here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸76% start probability, 69 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.29 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.32 expected bonus points
- ▸15.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (2.56 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 1.49 |
| Goal points | 1.12 |
| Assist points | 0.32 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.20 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.05 |
| Bonus points | 0.32 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.12 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 69.1 | 20% | 21% | 3.4 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 69.1 | 17% | 12% | 3.0 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 69.1 | 20% | 20% | 3.3 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 69.1 | 16% | 11% | 2.9 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 69.1 | 14% | 7% | 2.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)51%
Chance of 5+ points29%
Chance of 10+ points4%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.29
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.42
BPS90
20.1
DefCon90
8.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.25
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
10.0
PPM
10.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.40 | 10 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers