Scott
MIDAlex Scott · Bournemouth · £6.0m · 1.5% owned · 2 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
2.9
xPts 3
8.4
xPts 5
13.5
Rating
50
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Scott here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸81% start probability, 73 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.09 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.18 expected bonus points
- ▸13.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (2.25 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 1.58 |
| Goal points | 0.43 |
| Assist points | 0.22 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.22 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.36 |
| Bonus points | 0.18 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 73.4 | 8% | 22% | 2.9 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 73.4 | 7% | 13% | 2.7 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 73.4 | 8% | 21% | 2.9 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 73.4 | 7% | 11% | 2.6 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 73.4 | 6% | 8% | 2.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)55%
Chance of 5+ points18%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.09
xGI90
0.19
BPS90
18.1
DefCon90
11.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.25
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers