Lewis-Skelly
MIDMyles Lewis-Skelly · Arsenal · £5.5m · 0.7% owned · 3 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
6.6
Rating
23
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Lewis-Skelly here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸39% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.09 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 52/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.21 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 0.82 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.15 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.15 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 36.4 | 4% | 15% | 1.3 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 36.4 | 4% | 13% | 1.3 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 36.4 | 5% | 16% | 1.4 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 36.4 | 4% | 13% | 1.2 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 36.4 | 5% | 19% | 1.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.09
xGI90
0.16
BPS90
14.7
DefCon90
6.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.20
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers