Kluivert
MIDJustin Kluivert · Bournemouth · £6.0m · 1.2% owned · 3 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
3.8
xPts 5
6.1
Rating
16
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Kluivert here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸45% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.18 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 74 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 48/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.02 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 0.80 |
| Goal points | 0.34 |
| Assist points | 0.15 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.08 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 34.5 | 7% | 8% | 1.3 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 34.5 | 6% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 34.5 | 7% | 8% | 1.3 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 34.5 | 5% | 4% | 1.2 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 34.5 | 5% | 3% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.18
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.30
BPS90
15.4
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.36
Minutes
74
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers