Cook
MIDLewis Cook · Bournemouth · £5.0m · 0.2% owned · 3 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.3
xPts 5
5.3
Rating
13
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Cook here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸40% start probability, 31 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 75 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 52/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.06 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 0.84 |
| Goal points | 0.09 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.11 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 31.1 | 2% | 11% | 1.1 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 31.1 | 2% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 31.1 | 2% | 10% | 1.1 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 31.1 | 2% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 31.1 | 1% | 4% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)91%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
15.8
DefCon90
11.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.33
Minutes
75
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers