Adams
MIDTyler Adams · Bournemouth · £5.0m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
3.9
xPts 5
6.3
Rating
15
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Adams here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸35% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 15 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 55/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸6.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.26 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 1.10 |
| Goal points | 0.12 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.10 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.12 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 35 | 2% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 35 | 2% | 6% | 1.2 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 35 | 2% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 35 | 2% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 35 | 2% | 4% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
16.8
DefCon90
10.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.86
Minutes
15
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers