Christie
MIDRyan Christie · Bournemouth · £5.0m · 0.0% owned · 0 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.7
xPts 3
2.0
xPts 5
3.2
Rating
1
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Christie here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸18% start probability, 16 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.14 xG90, 0.09 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 65/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸3.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.64 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 0.46 |
| Goal points | 0.13 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 16.3 | 3% | 5% | 0.7 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 16.3 | 2% | 3% | 0.6 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 16.3 | 3% | 5% | 0.7 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 16.3 | 2% | 3% | 0.6 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 16.3 | 2% | 2% | 0.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)94%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.14
xA90
0.09
xGI90
0.24
BPS90
17.1
DefCon90
10.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers