Evanilson
FWDFrancisco Evanilson de Lima Barbosa · Bournemouth · £6.0m · 2.8% owned · 4 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening
xPts GW
2.3
xPts 3
6.5
xPts 5
10.5
Rating
39
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Evanilson here
- ▸Home vs EVE: we project BOU for 1.43 goals (our difficulty 2.6/5)
- ▸78% start probability, 58 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.30 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 74 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.15 expected bonus points
- ▸10.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.75 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs EVE
| Appearance points | 1.29 |
| Goal points | 0.79 |
| Assist points | 0.20 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.15 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.16 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EVE (H) | 58 | 18% | 14% | 2.3 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 58 | 15% | 8% | 2.1 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 58 | 18% | 13% | 2.2 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 58 | 14% | 7% | 2.0 |
| 6 | CHE (A) | 58 | 13% | 5% | 1.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)72%
Chance of 5+ points18%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.30
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.40
BPS90
15.3
DefCon90
5.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.36
Minutes
74
Starts
1
Form
4.0
PPM
4.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.8
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 74 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers