
Lewis-Potter
MIDKeane Lewis-Potter · Brentford · £5.5m · 0.9% owned · 10 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening
xPts GW
2.4
xPts 3
7.6
xPts 5
12.4
Rating
43
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Lewis-Potter here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸60% start probability, 55 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.25 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.15 expected bonus points
- ▸12.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (2.25 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.20 |
| Goal points | 0.68 |
| Assist points | 0.20 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.17 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.15 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 54.8 | 13% | 17% | 2.4 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 54.8 | 19% | 21% | 2.9 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 54.8 | 13% | 14% | 2.4 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 54.8 | 13% | 11% | 2.4 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 54.8 | 13% | 15% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)69%
Chance of 5+ points17%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.25
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.37
BPS90
19.6
DefCon90
5.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.57
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
10.0
PPM
10.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.77 | 10 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers