Kayode
DEFMichael Kayode · Brentford · £4.5m · 6.7% owned · 13 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening💰 Great Value
xPts GW
3.1
xPts 3
9.9
xPts 5
15.7
Rating
63
BUYLOWConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Kayode here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸85% start probability, 64 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 75 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 24%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.22 expected bonus points
- ▸15.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (3.48 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.65 |
| Goal points | 0.47 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.96 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.22 |
| Goals conceded | -0.17 |
| Cards / other | -0.12 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 64 | 8% | 24% | 3.1 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 64 | 11% | 30% | 3.8 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 64 | 8% | 19% | 2.9 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 64 | 8% | 16% | 2.8 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 64 | 8% | 21% | 3.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)59%
Chance of 5+ points31%
Chance of 10+ points3%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.19
BPS90
18.6
DefCon90
6.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.56
Minutes
75
Starts
1
Form
13.0
PPM
13.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 13 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers