Schade
MIDKevin Schade · Brentford · £6.0m · 3.5% owned · 3 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
3.3
xPts 3
10.8
xPts 5
17.4
Rating
63
BUYMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Schade here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸78% start probability, 70 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.37 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.20 expected bonus points
- ▸17.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (2.90 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.52 |
| Goal points | 1.29 |
| Assist points | 0.15 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.22 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.20 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.12 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 70.4 | 23% | 22% | 3.3 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 70.4 | 33% | 28% | 4.2 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 70.4 | 23% | 18% | 3.3 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 70.4 | 24% | 15% | 3.3 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 70.4 | 23% | 20% | 3.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)55%
Chance of 5+ points27%
Chance of 10+ points4%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.37
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.44
BPS90
14.0
DefCon90
7.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.57
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers