Damsgaard
MIDMikkel Damsgaard · Brentford · £5.5m · 0.6% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.7
xPts 5
9.3
Rating
28
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Damsgaard here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 39 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.22 xA90 (shrunk to 14 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.69 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.15 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.26 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.12 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 38.5 | 4% | 12% | 1.8 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 38.5 | 7% | 16% | 2.1 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 38.5 | 4% | 10% | 1.8 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 38.5 | 5% | 8% | 1.8 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 38.5 | 5% | 11% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.22
xGI90
0.34
BPS90
19.5
DefCon90
10.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.64
Minutes
14
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers