Jensen
MIDMathias Jensen · Brentford · £5.5m · 0.2% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.9
xPts 5
9.5
Rating
36
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Jensen here
- ▸Away vs LEE: we project BRE for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸66% start probability, 45 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.24 xA90 (shrunk to 66 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸9.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.73 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LEE
| Appearance points | 1.12 |
| Goal points | 0.23 |
| Assist points | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.13 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LEE (A) | 44.6 | 4% | 13% | 1.8 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 44.6 | 7% | 16% | 2.2 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 44.6 | 5% | 10% | 1.8 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 44.6 | 5% | 9% | 1.8 |
| 6 | AVL (A) | 44.6 | 5% | 11% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)78%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.24
xGI90
0.35
BPS90
19.3
DefCon90
8.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.64
Minutes
66
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.6
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 66 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers