Delap
FWDLiam Delap · Chelsea · £5.5m · 0.5% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
3.0
xPts 5
5.0
Rating
12
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Delap here
- ▸Home vs BHA: we project CHE for 1.94 goals (our difficulty 1.8/5)
- ▸23% start probability, 20 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.35 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 62/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (0.92 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BHA
| Appearance points | 0.54 |
| Goal points | 0.43 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BHA (H) | 19.9 | 10% | 7% | 1.0 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 19.9 | 6% | 3% | 0.8 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 19.9 | 14% | 10% | 1.2 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 19.9 | 8% | 6% | 0.9 |
| 6 | BOU (H) | 19.9 | 12% | 8% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.35
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.42
BPS90
12.8
DefCon90
3.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers