Sávio
MIDSávio Moreira de Oliveira · Spurs · £6.5m · 0.7% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.9
xPts 3
2.6
xPts 5
4.3
Rating
6
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Sávio here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸22% start probability, 19 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.22 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 63/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸4.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (0.66 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 0.52 |
| Goal points | 0.23 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 18.7 | 5% | 5% | 0.9 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 18.7 | 4% | 6% | 0.8 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 18.7 | 4% | 6% | 0.9 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 18.7 | 5% | 7% | 0.9 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 18.7 | 3% | 4% | 0.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.22
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.38
BPS90
16.1
DefCon90
7.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers