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Bournemouth v Brentford Prediction & Match Markets

Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 · Gameweek 4 · Bournemouth (home)

Predicted score

0–1

14% likely

Expected goals
0.94 – 1.15
Total 2.10
BOU win
30%
Draw 30%
BRE win
40%
BTTS 42%
Lineup confidence
75%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Three best spread bets

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Bournemouth

4-5-1 · High confidence
  1. 1PetrovićGKP
  2. 2TruffertDEF
  3. 3HillDEF
  4. 4SmithDEF
  5. 5DiakitéDEF
  6. 6RayanMID
  7. 7TavernierMID
  8. 8ScottMID
  9. 9KluivertMID
  10. 10AdamsMID
  11. 11EvanilsonFWD

Bench: Cook, Rodríguez, Brooks, Christie

Out: Silva, Kroupi.Jr, Milosavljević, J.Araujo, Adli

Full Bournemouth predicted XI →

Brentford

4-5-1 · High confidence
  1. 1KelleherGKP
  2. 2KayodeDEF
  3. 3CollinsDEF
  4. 4AjerDEF
  5. 5DioufDEF
  6. 6Lewis-PotterMID
  7. 7SchadeMID
  8. 8O.DangoMID
  9. 9JensenMID
  10. 10JaneltMID
  11. 11ThiagoFWD

Bench: M.Sangaré, Anthony, Damsgaard, Henry

Doubts: Yarmoliuk

Out: Van den Berg, Milambo

Full Brentford predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

MarketSellBuyModelMost likelyFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
Total match goals——2.102.00
0.0
4.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——19.619.0
13.0
27.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——7.77.0
4.0
12.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——10.910.0
6.0
16.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——3.563.00
1.0
6.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——20.419.0
13.0
28.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——-0.210.00
-2.0
2.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——1.61.0
-4.0
8.0
——73%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——0.60.0
-3.0
4.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——0.31.0
-4.0
5.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——0.040.00
-2.0
2.0
——73%0NO PRICE

Match fixed-odds markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

MarketSelectionPriceImpliedModelFair oddsEVConfOppSignal
Match outcome (model price)BOU win——30%3.37—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——30%3.30—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BRE win——40%2.49—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——42%2.40—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BOU -1 goal handicap——10%9.65—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BRE +1 goal handicap——90%1.12—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BOU draw no bet——43%2.35—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BOU double chance——60%1.67—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BRE double chance——70%1.42—73%0NO PRICE

Player fixed-odds markets

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

PlayerMarketSellBuyModelFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
PetrovićBOUPlayer Performance——4.2
2.1
6.1
—0%76%0NO BET
ForsterBOUPlayer Performance——5.0
2.4
7.9
—0%49%0NO BET
HillBOUPlayer Performance——13.1
7.5
19.5
—0%67%0NO BET
TruffertBOUPlayer Performance——14.0
7.9
20.9
—0%77%0NO BET
DiakitéBOUPlayer Performance——11.5
6.3
17.6
—0%53%0NO BET
SmithBOUPlayer Performance——8.2
3.4
13.7
—0%53%0NO BET
RayanBOUPlayer Performance——10.4
4.6
18.0
—0%51%0NO BET
TavernierBOUPlayer Performance——15.7
8.0
25.8
—0%68%0NO BET
ScottBOUPlayer Performance——15.9
9.4
23.6
—0%76%0NO BET
KluivertBOUPlayer Performance——7.7
2.6
14.3
—0%50%0NO BET
CookBOUPlayer Performance——12.4
6.5
19.4
—0%53%0NO BET
AdamsBOUPlayer Performance——15.1
8.0
23.4
—0%59%0NO BET
BrooksBOUPlayer Performance——13.5
6.3
22.3
—0%52%0NO BET
ChristieBOUPlayer Performance——17.2
9.1
26.6
—0%58%0NO BET
EvanilsonBOUPlayer Performance——6.0
0.3
13.8
—0%67%0NO BET
RodríguezBOUPlayer Performance——11.4
4.5
20.7
—0%47%0NO BET
KelleherBREPlayer Performance——6.2
3.9
8.6
—0%76%0NO BET
CollinsBREPlayer Performance——13.8
8.4
20.4
—0%71%0NO BET
Lewis-PotterBREPlayer Performance——12.5
5.7
22.3
—0%63%0NO BET
AjerBREPlayer Performance——10.8
5.3
17.4
—0%62%0NO BET
KayodeBREPlayer Performance——9.4
3.6
17.6
—0%75%0NO BET
HenryBREPlayer Performance——7.8
3.2
13.3
—0%63%0NO BET
HickeyBREPlayer Performance——11.6
5.8
18.2
—0%57%0NO BET
Ji-sooBREPlayer Performance——13.3
7.2
20.3
—0%49%0NO BET
SchadeBREPlayer Performance——9.8
3.2
18.3
—0%72%0NO BET
O.DangoBREPlayer Performance——7.1
1.9
13.9
—0%63%0NO BET
DamsgaardBREPlayer Performance——14.5
7.4
22.9
—0%65%0NO BET
JensenBREPlayer Performance——10.2
4.6
17.4
—0%60%0NO BET
JaneltBREPlayer Performance——17.2
9.5
27.1
—0%66%0NO BET
YarmoliukBREPlayer Performance——12.8
6.5
20.3
—0%59%0NO BET
AnthonyBREPlayer Performance——11.1
4.6
19.4
—0%63%0NO BET
ThiagoBREPlayer Performance——8.7
1.6
18.6
—0%71%0NO BET
WilsonBREPlayer Performance——7.1
1.0
15.8
—0%63%0NO BET
M.SangaréBREPlayer Performance——12.3
6.3
19.9
—0%48%0NO BET
SilvaBOUPlayer Performance——14.0
8.3
20.6
—0%45%0NO BET
SanchezBOUPlayer Performance——13.6
7.3
20.9
—0%48%0NO BET
Di GregorioBOUPlayer Performance——5.0
2.4
8.0
—0%46%0NO BET
DioufBREPlayer Performance——9.9
4.5
16.3
—0%65%0NO BET
PetrovićBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%76%0NO BET
ForsterBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%49%0NO BET
HillBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%67%0NO BET
TruffertBOUShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%77%0NO BET
DiakitéBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%53%0NO BET
SmithBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%53%0NO BET
RayanBOUShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.3
—0%51%0NO BET
TavernierBOUShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.4
—0%68%0NO BET
ScottBOUShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%76%0NO BET
KluivertBOUShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%50%0NO BET
CookBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%53%0NO BET
AdamsBOUShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%59%0NO BET
BrooksBOUShots on Target——0.5
0.0
1.5
—0%52%0NO BET
ChristieBOUShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.3
—0%58%0NO BET
EvanilsonBOUShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%67%0NO BET
RodríguezBOUShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%47%0NO BET
KelleherBREShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%76%0NO BET
CollinsBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%71%0NO BET
Lewis-PotterBREShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%63%0NO BET
AjerBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%62%0NO BET
KayodeBREShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%75%0NO BET
HenryBREShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%63%0NO BET
HickeyBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%57%0NO BET
Ji-sooBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%49%0NO BET
SchadeBREShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.3
—0%72%0NO BET
O.DangoBREShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%63%0NO BET
DamsgaardBREShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.9
—0%65%0NO BET
JensenBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%60%0NO BET
JaneltBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%66%0NO BET
YarmoliukBREShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%59%0NO BET
AnthonyBREShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%63%0NO BET
ThiagoBREShots on Target——0.5
0.0
1.5
—0%71%0NO BET
WilsonBREShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.4
—0%63%0NO BET
M.SangaréBREShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%48%0NO BET
SilvaBOUShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%45%0NO BET
SanchezBOUShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%48%0NO BET
Di GregorioBOUShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%46%0NO BET
DioufBREShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%65%0NO BET

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.0%
  • 0–013.4%
  • 1–112.8%

Team news & model notes

Bournemouth

Kroupi.Jr (i), Milosavljević (i), Adli (i), Enes Ünal (u)

Brentford

Milambo (i), Van den Berg (i)

Model updated 30/08/2026, 02:25:41 · no live prices captured

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