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Coventry City v Brighton Prediction & Match Markets

Sun 13 Sept, 13:00 · Gameweek 4 · Coventry City (home)

Predicted score

0–1

17% likely

Expected goals
0.66 – 1.49
Total 2.15
COV win
16%
Draw 27%
BHA win
57%
BTTS 37%
Lineup confidence
77%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Three best spread bets

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Coventry City

3-5-2 · Low confidence
  1. 1RushworthGKP
  2. 2ThomasDEF
  3. 3van EwijkDEF
  4. 4DasilvaDEF
  5. 5TchaounaMID
  6. 6Mason-ClarkMID
  7. 7RudoniMID
  8. 8GrimesMID
  9. 9YirenkyiMID
  10. 10Thomas-AsanteFWD
  11. 11SimmsFWD

Bench: Onyeka, Awoniyi, Amenda, Torp

Out: Woolfenden, Kesler-Hayden, Wright

Full Coventry City predicted XI →

Brighton

5-4-1 · High confidence
  1. 1VerbruggenGKP
  2. 2BoscagliDEF
  3. 3De CuyperDEF
  4. 4DunkDEF
  5. 5WiefferDEF
  6. 6VuskovicDEF
  7. 7GroßMID
  8. 8O'RileyMID
  9. 9GomezMID
  10. 10AyariMID
  11. 11KostoulasFWD

Bench: F.Kadıoğlu, Struijk, David, Svoboda

Doubts: Georginio

Out: Hinshelwood, Minteh, Mitoma, Tzimas, Ferguson

Full Brighton predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

MarketSellBuyModelMost likelyFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
Total match goals——2.152.00
0.0
4.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——21.720.0
14.0
30.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——7.06.0
3.0
11.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——9.38.0
5.0
14.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——3.082.00
1.0
6.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——20.219.0
13.0
28.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——-0.84-1.00
-3.0
1.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——-3.5-3.0
-10.0
3.0
——29%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——-1.5-1.0
-5.0
2.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——-0.50.0
-5.0
4.0
——29%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——-0.550.00
-3.0
2.0
——29%0NO PRICE

Match fixed-odds markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

MarketSelectionPriceImpliedModelFair oddsEVConfOppSignal
Match outcome (model price)COV win——16%6.15—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——27%3.75—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BHA win——57%1.75—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——37%2.72—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)COV -1 goal handicap——5%22.17—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BHA +1 goal handicap——95%1.05—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)COV draw no bet——22%4.51—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)COV double chance——43%2.33—29%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)BHA double chance——84%1.19—29%0NO PRICE

Player fixed-odds markets

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

PlayerMarketSellBuyModelFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
VerbruggenBHAPlayer Performance——8.9
6.3
11.4
—0%76%0NO BET
F.KadıoğluBHAPlayer Performance——14.7
8.5
21.7
—0%70%0NO BET
BoscagliBHAPlayer Performance——23.6
17.4
30.5
—0%49%0NO BET
De CuyperBHAPlayer Performance——14.1
6.2
24.8
—0%59%0NO BET
DunkBHAPlayer Performance——22.1
16.5
28.4
—0%76%0NO BET
CostinhaBHAPlayer Performance——17.0
9.8
25.2
—0%46%0NO BET
SvobodaBHAPlayer Performance——15.5
9.0
23.0
—0%49%0NO BET
GroßBHAPlayer Performance——19.4
12.7
27.5
—0%60%0NO BET
GeorginioBHAPlayer Performance——13.5
5.9
22.9
—0%60%0NO BET
GomezBHAPlayer Performance——16.5
8.4
26.2
—0%67%0NO BET
AyariBHAPlayer Performance——12.4
6.0
20.4
—0%61%0NO BET
WiefferBHAPlayer Performance——12.6
6.4
20.0
—0%67%0NO BET
YohannaBHAPlayer Performance——16.4
9.3
24.7
—0%47%0NO BET
DovinCOVPlayer Performance——4.2
1.7
7.0
—0%43%0NO BET
WilsonCOVPlayer Performance——4.2
1.6
6.9
—0%38%0NO BET
KitchingCOVPlayer Performance——12.1
6.1
19.2
—0%37%0NO BET
van EwijkCOVPlayer Performance——12.2
6.5
19.0
—0%42%0NO BET
DasilvaCOVPlayer Performance——12.3
6.9
18.7
—0%41%0NO BET
BidwellCOVPlayer Performance——12.0
6.0
18.9
—0%33%0NO BET
LatibeaudiereCOVPlayer Performance——12.0
6.0
19.0
—0%42%0NO BET
AmendaCOVPlayer Performance——12.3
6.8
18.8
—0%47%0NO BET
RudoniCOVPlayer Performance——14.4
7.5
22.9
—0%36%0NO BET
SakamotoCOVPlayer Performance——13.3
6.8
21.3
—0%47%0NO BET
Mason-ClarkCOVPlayer Performance——13.2
6.8
21.3
—0%48%0NO BET
EcclesCOVPlayer Performance——13.2
6.6
21.2
—0%49%0NO BET
TorpCOVPlayer Performance——12.8
6.5
20.4
—0%50%0NO BET
ShepherdCOVPlayer Performance——13.2
6.6
21.2
—0%51%0NO BET
TchaounaCOVPlayer Performance——8.3
3.3
14.7
—0%61%0NO BET
Thomas-AsanteCOVPlayer Performance——7.2
1.9
14.9
—0%40%0NO BET
SimmsCOVPlayer Performance——6.8
1.7
14.3
—0%37%0NO BET
StruijkBHAPlayer Performance——15.1
8.8
22.1
—0%67%0NO BET
VuskovicBHAPlayer Performance——19.1
13.1
26.3
—0%42%0NO BET
HamerCOVPlayer Performance——10.7
5.4
17.2
—0%72%0NO BET
DavidBHAPlayer Performance——12.9
5.2
22.9
—0%30%0NO BET
CherifCOVPlayer Performance——9.2
2.8
18.2
—0%33%0NO BET
OsmanBHAPlayer Performance——16.7
9.6
25.0
—0%48%0NO BET
YalcouyéBHAPlayer Performance——16.5
9.5
24.8
—0%49%0NO BET
HadjamBHAPlayer Performance——15.5
9.0
22.9
—0%44%0NO BET
VerbruggenBHAShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%76%0NO BET
F.KadıoğluBHAShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%70%0NO BET
BoscagliBHAShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%49%0NO BET
De CuyperBHAShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%59%0NO BET
DunkBHAShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%76%0NO BET
CostinhaBHAShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.1
—0%46%0NO BET
SvobodaBHAShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%49%0NO BET
GroßBHAShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.3
—0%60%0NO BET
GeorginioBHAShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.4
—0%60%0NO BET
GomezBHAShots on Target——0.5
0.0
1.5
—0%67%0NO BET
AyariBHAShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.1
—0%61%0NO BET
WiefferBHAShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%67%0NO BET
YohannaBHAShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%47%0NO BET
DovinCOVShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%43%0NO BET
WilsonCOVShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%38%0NO BET
KitchingCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%37%0NO BET
van EwijkCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%42%0NO BET
DasilvaCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%41%0NO BET
BidwellCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%33%0NO BET
LatibeaudiereCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%42%0NO BET
AmendaCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%47%0NO BET
RudoniCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%36%0NO BET
SakamotoCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%47%0NO BET
Mason-ClarkCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%48%0NO BET
EcclesCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%49%0NO BET
TorpCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%50%0NO BET
ShepherdCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%51%0NO BET
TchaounaCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.9
—0%61%0NO BET
Thomas-AsanteCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%40%0NO BET
SimmsCOVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%37%0NO BET
StruijkBHAShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%67%0NO BET
VuskovicBHAShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%42%0NO BET
HamerCOVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%72%0NO BET
DavidBHAShots on Target——0.6
0.0
1.7
—0%30%0NO BET
CherifCOVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%33%0NO BET
OsmanBHAShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%48%0NO BET
YalcouyéBHAShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%49%0NO BET
HadjamBHAShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%44%0NO BET

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–117.3%
  • 0–212.6%
  • 0–012.5%

Team news & model notes

Coventry City

Woolfenden (i)

Brighton

Buonanotte (u), Minteh (i), Mitoma (i), Watson (u), Howell (u), Tzimas (i)

Model updated 30/08/2026, 02:25:41 · no live prices captured

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