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Crystal Palace v Ipswich Town Prediction & Match Markets

Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 · Gameweek 4 · Crystal Palace (home)

Predicted score

0–1

13% likely

Expected goals
0.98 – 1.58
Total 2.57
CRY win
23%
Draw 26%
IPS win
51%
BTTS 49%
Lineup confidence
78%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Three best spread bets

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Crystal Palace

5-4-1 · High confidence
  1. 1HendersonGKP
  2. 2MitchellDEF
  3. 3RichardsDEF
  4. 4CanvotDEF
  5. 5TomiyasuDEF
  6. 6KhalailiDEF
  7. 7WhartonMID
  8. 8YeremyMID
  9. 9KamadaMID
  10. 10McNeilMID
  11. 11Strand LarsenFWD

Bench: Muñoz, Nketiah, Lerma, Hughes

Out: Mateta, Sarr, Chadi Riad

Full Crystal Palace predicted XI →

Ipswich Town

4-5-1 · High confidence
  1. 1ScherpenGKP
  2. 2DiopDEF
  3. 3O'SheaDEF
  4. 4DavisDEF
  5. 5GreavesDEF
  6. 6LukićMID
  7. 7NúñezMID
  8. 8FatawuMID
  9. 9MaedaMID
  10. 10EncisoMID
  11. 11EmersonnFWD

Bench: Clarke, Ogbene, Akpom, Mehmeti

Doubts: Florentino, Matusiwa

Out: Philogene, Taylor

Full Ipswich Town predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

MarketSellBuyModelMost likelyFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
Total match goals——2.572.00
1.0
5.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——20.819.0
14.0
29.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——7.26.0
4.0
11.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——7.17.0
4.0
11.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——2.101.00
0.0
4.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——18.618.0
12.0
26.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——-0.600.00
-3.0
1.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——2.73.0
-4.0
9.0
——50%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——0.30.0
-3.0
4.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——0.60.0
-3.0
4.0
——50%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——0.200.00
-2.0
2.0
——50%0NO PRICE

Match fixed-odds markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

MarketSelectionPriceImpliedModelFair oddsEVConfOppSignal
Match outcome (model price)CRY win——23%4.29—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——26%3.92—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)IPS win——51%1.95—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——49%2.04—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY -1 goal handicap——8%11.99—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)IPS +1 goal handicap——92%1.09—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY draw no bet——31%3.20—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)CRY double chance——49%2.05—50%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)IPS double chance——77%1.30—50%0NO PRICE

Player fixed-odds markets

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

PlayerMarketSellBuyModelFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
MuñozCRYPlayer Performance——9.5
3.6
16.8
—0%66%0NO BET
CanvotCRYPlayer Performance——17.9
12.1
24.5
—0%60%0NO BET
YeremyCRYPlayer Performance——10.8
4.8
18.3
—0%63%0NO BET
KamadaCRYPlayer Performance——17.0
10.3
24.8
—0%63%0NO BET
KhalailiCRYPlayer Performance——14.1
7.6
21.8
—0%49%0NO BET
GuessandCRYPlayer Performance——10.8
4.1
19.0
—0%62%0NO BET
RichardsCRYPlayer Performance——15.8
10.3
22.4
—0%75%0NO BET
LermaCRYPlayer Performance——14.9
8.1
22.9
—0%59%0NO BET
MitchellCRYPlayer Performance——13.4
7.5
20.4
—0%79%0NO BET
DevennyCRYPlayer Performance——12.7
5.9
21.0
—0%59%0NO BET
Strand LarsenCRYPlayer Performance——6.5
1.4
14.1
—0%67%0NO BET
DisasiCRYPlayer Performance——11.1
6.0
17.1
—0%59%0NO BET
HendersonCRYPlayer Performance——6.5
4.1
8.9
—0%79%0NO BET
WhartonCRYPlayer Performance——18.0
11.5
25.8
—0%76%0NO BET
NketiahCRYPlayer Performance——9.7
2.9
18.8
—0%54%0NO BET
HughesCRYPlayer Performance——13.4
7.0
21.1
—0%51%0NO BET
J.Rak-SakyiCRYPlayer Performance——17.6
10.0
26.4
—0%50%0NO BET
McNeilCRYPlayer Performance——8.8
3.6
15.4
—0%55%0NO BET
MatthewsCRYPlayer Performance——6.2
3.2
9.2
—0%51%0NO BET
NúñezIPSPlayer Performance——10.9
5.2
17.9
—0%34%0NO BET
EmersonnIPSPlayer Performance——7.5
1.9
16.0
—0%31%0NO BET
KipréIPSPlayer Performance——11.7
6.0
18.6
—0%46%0NO BET
DavisIPSPlayer Performance——12.4
7.1
18.7
—0%74%0NO BET
EncisoIPSPlayer Performance——10.3
4.7
17.4
—0%48%0NO BET
FurlongIPSPlayer Performance——10.4
5.3
16.4
—0%69%0NO BET
ClarkeIPSPlayer Performance——18.9
8.7
32.2
—0%51%0NO BET
MehmetiIPSPlayer Performance——12.7
6.5
20.1
—0%48%0NO BET
MaedaIPSPlayer Performance——11.2
5.4
18.5
—0%51%0NO BET
McAteerIPSPlayer Performance——12.3
6.3
19.4
—0%48%0NO BET
DiopIPSPlayer Performance——10.0
5.4
15.4
—0%57%0NO BET
LukićIPSPlayer Performance——12.1
5.4
20.0
—0%71%0NO BET
O'SheaIPSPlayer Performance——13.8
8.0
20.5
—0%79%0NO BET
PalmerIPSPlayer Performance——4.0
1.6
6.6
—0%51%0NO BET
WaltonIPSPlayer Performance——4.1
1.7
6.7
—0%53%0NO BET
JohnsonIPSPlayer Performance——10.6
5.3
16.7
—0%59%0NO BET
FatawuIPSPlayer Performance——10.5
5.1
17.3
—0%49%0NO BET
GreavesIPSPlayer Performance——13.1
7.5
19.4
—0%70%0NO BET
FlorentinoIPSPlayer Performance——14.2
6.9
22.6
—0%58%0NO BET
GuessandCRYShots on Target——0.5
0.0
1.5
—0%62%0NO BET
DisasiCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%59%0NO BET
HendersonCRYShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%79%0NO BET
MuñozCRYShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.1
—0%66%0NO BET
RichardsCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%75%0NO BET
CanvotCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%60%0NO BET
MitchellCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%79%0NO BET
WhartonCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%76%0NO BET
YeremyCRYShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%63%0NO BET
HughesCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%51%0NO BET
LermaCRYShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%59%0NO BET
KamadaCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%63%0NO BET
DevennyCRYShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%59%0NO BET
J.Rak-SakyiCRYShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.3
—0%50%0NO BET
Strand LarsenCRYShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%67%0NO BET
NketiahCRYShots on Target——0.5
0.0
1.5
—0%54%0NO BET
McNeilCRYShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%55%0NO BET
DiopIPSShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%57%0NO BET
LukićIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%71%0NO BET
WaltonIPSShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%53%0NO BET
PalmerIPSShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%51%0NO BET
KipréIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%46%0NO BET
O'SheaIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%79%0NO BET
DavisIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%74%0NO BET
GreavesIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%70%0NO BET
JohnsonIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%59%0NO BET
FurlongIPSShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%69%0NO BET
NúñezIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%34%0NO BET
ClarkeIPSShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.1
—0%51%0NO BET
FatawuIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%49%0NO BET
EmersonnIPSShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.1
—0%31%0NO BET
McAteerIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%48%0NO BET
MehmetiIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%48%0NO BET
MatthewsCRYShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%51%0NO BET
MaedaIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%51%0NO BET
FlorentinoIPSShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%58%0NO BET
KhalailiCRYShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%49%0NO BET
EncisoIPSShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%48%0NO BET

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.8%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–29.5%

Team news & model notes

Crystal Palace

Chadi Riad (i), Cardines (u), Mateta (i), Uche (u), Sarr (i)

Ipswich Town

Szmodics (u), Burns (u), Hirst (u), Al-Hamadi (u), Philogene (i), Taylor (i)

Model updated 30/08/2026, 02:26:25 · no live prices captured

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