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Liverpool v Fulham Prediction & Match Markets

Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 · Gameweek 4 · Liverpool (home)

Predicted score

2–0

9% likely

Expected goals
2.32 – 1.01
Total 3.33
LIV win
66%
Draw 19%
FUL win
15%
BTTS 57%
Lineup confidence
76%
20,000 simulations

Minimum odds 1.50

Hides every fixed-odds selection priced shorter than 1.50 across the best bets and both fixed-odds tables.

On

Three best fixed-odds bets

Top rated selections from different markets — game, team or player — so no two are correlated

No rated fixed-odds bets for this fixture.

Three best spread bets

One per correlation family (goals, corners, cards, shots …) so the positions move independently

No rated spread bets for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Projected starting XI, bench and availability from the team-news model

Liverpool

4-5-1 · High confidence
  1. 1A.BeckerGKP
  2. 2VirgilDEF
  3. 3FrimpongDEF
  4. 4KerkezDEF
  5. 5JacquetDEF
  6. 6SzoboszlaiMID
  7. 7WirtzMID
  8. 8GakpoMID
  9. 9NgumohaMID
  10. 10GravenberchMID
  11. 11IsakFWD

Bench: Mac Allister, Munoz, Araujo, Mamardashvili

Out: Chiesa, Ekitiké, Gomez, Bradley, Leoni, Danns

Full Liverpool predicted XI →

Fulham

4-5-1 · High confidence
  1. 1LenoGKP
  2. 2AndersenDEF
  3. 3RobinsonDEF
  4. 4BasseyDEF
  5. 5CastagneDEF
  6. 6IwobiMID
  7. 7BobbMID
  8. 8BergeMID
  9. 9KingMID
  10. 10PalaciosMID
  11. 11GonzaloFWD

Bench: J.Cuenca, Smith Rowe, Tete, Sessegnon

Doubts: De Fougerolles

Out: Cairney

Full Fulham predicted XI →

Match spread markets

Model projection versus the Spreadex sell / buy line

MarketSellBuyModelMost likelyFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
Total match goals——3.333.00
1.0
6.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match shots——29.028.0
20.0
39.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match shots on target——8.48.0
4.0
13.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match corners——9.98.0
5.0
15.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match cards——3.243.00
1.0
6.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Total match fouls——20.019.0
13.0
28.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Goal supremacy (home)——1.311.00
-1.0
4.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Shot supremacy (home)——7.57.0
0.0
15.0
——73%0NO PRICE
SOT supremacy (home)——2.02.0
-2.0
6.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Corner supremacy (home)——2.72.0
-1.0
7.0
——73%0NO PRICE
Card supremacy (home)——-0.99-1.00
-3.0
1.0
——73%0NO PRICE

Match fixed-odds markets

Model probability versus the priced selection · 1.50+ only

MarketSelectionPriceImpliedModelFair oddsEVConfOppSignal
Match outcome (model price)LIV win——66%1.51—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Draw——19%5.32—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL win——15%6.60—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)Both teams to score——57%1.76—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV -1 goal handicap——43%2.31—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL +1 goal handicap——57%1.76—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV draw no bet——81%1.23—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)LIV double chance——85%1.18—73%0NO PRICE
Match outcome (model price)FUL double chance——34%2.95—73%0NO PRICE

Player fixed-odds markets

Every priced player selection for this fixture, model probability versus the market · 1.50+ only

No player fixed-odds selections priced for this fixture.

Player spread markets

Player projections against the Spreadex sell / buy lines

PlayerMarketSellBuyModelFloor → ceilingEdgeProbConfOppSignal
LenoFULPlayer Performance——5.9
3.5
8.3
—0%76%0NO BET
LecomteFULPlayer Performance——4.4
1.8
7.2
—0%49%0NO BET
AndersenFULPlayer Performance——13.6
7.7
20.3
—0%72%0NO BET
RobinsonFULPlayer Performance——15.2
8.9
22.4
—0%60%0NO BET
J.CuencaFULPlayer Performance——14.7
9.2
20.8
—0%55%0NO BET
TeteFULPlayer Performance——13.6
6.8
21.3
—0%61%0NO BET
BasseyFULPlayer Performance——14.6
8.9
21.1
—0%69%0NO BET
CastagneFULPlayer Performance——12.7
6.0
20.8
—0%66%0NO BET
IwobiFULPlayer Performance——13.8
8.6
20.3
—0%69%0NO BET
Smith RoweFULPlayer Performance——11.9
5.9
19.2
—0%61%0NO BET
KevinFULPlayer Performance——11.5
5.0
19.4
—0%59%0NO BET
BobbFULPlayer Performance——9.1
3.8
15.7
—0%59%0NO BET
BergeFULPlayer Performance——9.3
4.6
15.3
—0%77%0NO BET
KingFULPlayer Performance——11.8
5.1
20.6
—0%57%0NO BET
SessegnonFULPlayer Performance——10.6
4.2
18.1
—0%61%0NO BET
MunizFULPlayer Performance——6.1
0.5
13.7
—0%60%0NO BET
A.BeckerLIVPlayer Performance——6.3
3.9
8.7
—0%64%0NO BET
MamardashviliLIVPlayer Performance——5.7
3.0
8.6
—0%49%0NO BET
VirgilLIVPlayer Performance——18.8
12.9
26.1
—0%79%0NO BET
FrimpongLIVPlayer Performance——12.1
6.6
18.4
—0%51%0NO BET
KerkezLIVPlayer Performance——12.9
7.3
19.4
—0%67%0NO BET
LuckyLIVPlayer Performance——15.4
8.7
23.0
—0%49%0NO BET
JacquetLIVPlayer Performance——11.5
6.2
18.0
—0%37%0NO BET
TsimikasLIVPlayer Performance——15.4
8.7
23.1
—0%50%0NO BET
WirtzLIVPlayer Performance——12.8
6.6
20.7
—0%68%0NO BET
GakpoLIVPlayer Performance——15.2
6.8
25.9
—0%67%0NO BET
SzoboszlaiLIVPlayer Performance——23.3
14.6
34.6
—0%77%0NO BET
NgumohaLIVPlayer Performance——11.0
5.2
18.3
—0%50%0NO BET
GravenberchLIVPlayer Performance——14.9
8.1
23.2
—0%69%0NO BET
Mac AllisterLIVPlayer Performance——15.7
8.6
23.8
—0%64%0NO BET
MunozLIVPlayer Performance——17.6
9.7
27.2
—0%46%0NO BET
McConnellLIVPlayer Performance——17.3
9.7
26.1
—0%51%0NO BET
IsakLIVPlayer Performance——11.7
3.9
22.2
—0%44%0NO BET
KoumasLIVPlayer Performance——17.0
9.6
25.8
—0%48%0NO BET
GonzaloFULPlayer Performance——10.8
4.0
20.2
—0%32%0NO BET
PalaciosFULPlayer Performance——11.0
5.3
18.0
—0%48%0NO BET
AraujoLIVPlayer Performance——16.3
9.2
24.2
—0%47%0NO BET
CharlesFULPlayer Performance——14.0
7.3
21.9
—0%49%0NO BET
LenoFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%76%0NO BET
LecomteFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%49%0NO BET
AndersenFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%72%0NO BET
RobinsonFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%60%0NO BET
J.CuencaFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%55%0NO BET
TeteFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.2
—0%61%0NO BET
BasseyFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%69%0NO BET
CastagneFULShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%66%0NO BET
IwobiFULShots on Target——0.2
0.0
0.8
—0%69%0NO BET
Smith RoweFULShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%61%0NO BET
KevinFULShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%59%0NO BET
BobbFULShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.3
—0%59%0NO BET
BergeFULShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.1
—0%77%0NO BET
KingFULShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%57%0NO BET
SessegnonFULShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.4
—0%61%0NO BET
MunizFULShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%60%0NO BET
A.BeckerLIVShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%64%0NO BET
MamardashviliLIVShots on Target——0.0
0.0
0.0
—0%49%0NO BET
VirgilLIVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%79%0NO BET
FrimpongLIVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%51%0NO BET
KerkezLIVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%67%0NO BET
LuckyLIVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%49%0NO BET
JacquetLIVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.5
—0%37%0NO BET
TsimikasLIVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%50%0NO BET
WirtzLIVShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.3
—0%68%0NO BET
GakpoLIVShots on Target——0.5
0.0
1.6
—0%67%0NO BET
SzoboszlaiLIVShots on Target——0.4
0.0
1.4
—0%77%0NO BET
NgumohaLIVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%50%0NO BET
GravenberchLIVShots on Target——0.2
0.0
1.0
—0%69%0NO BET
Mac AllisterLIVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.1
—0%64%0NO BET
MunozLIVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.3
—0%46%0NO BET
McConnellLIVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%51%0NO BET
IsakLIVShots on Target——0.7
0.0
2.0
—0%44%0NO BET
KoumasLIVShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%48%0NO BET
GonzaloFULShots on Target——0.3
0.0
1.2
—0%32%0NO BET
PalaciosFULShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%48%0NO BET
AraujoLIVShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.7
—0%47%0NO BET
CharlesFULShots on Target——0.1
0.0
0.6
—0%49%0NO BET

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.4%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–08.8%

Team news & model notes

Liverpool

Jaros (i), Chiesa (i), C.Jones (u), Gomez (i), Bradley (i), Ekitiké (i)

Fulham

Cairney (i)

Model updated 30/08/2026, 02:25:19 · no live prices captured

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