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BJ Jacobs betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallFIRST_CLASS221786273847.065.210.170.9HIGH
overallT2041110474336.8148.618.831.6HIGH
overallFIRST_CLASS482403.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where BJ Jacobs scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: Central Stags (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    566 runs off 952 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.5 vs 65.2 overall, average 141.5 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Wellington Firebirds (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    690 runs off 912 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 75.7 vs 65.2 overall, average 57.5 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Venue: Basin Reserve, Wellington (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    308 runs off 500 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 61.6 vs 65.2 overall, average 77.0 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    804 runs off 1026 balls in 16 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 78.4 vs 65.2 overall, average 50.3 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: PACE (T20)HIGH sample

    555 runs off 352 balls in 38 T20 matches — strike rate 157.7 vs 148.6 overall, average 29.2 vs 36.8 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (T20)HIGH sample

    420 runs off 306 balls in 33 T20 matches — strike rate 137.3 vs 148.6 overall, average 46.7 vs 36.8 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Opposition: Northern Districts (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    284 runs off 452 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 62.8 vs 65.2 overall, average 23.7 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Canterbury (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    178 runs off 310 balls in 4 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 57.4 vs 65.2 overall, average 29.7 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Phase: new_ball (FIRST CLASS)HIGH sample

    168 runs off 322 balls in 14 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 52.2 vs 65.2 overall, average 16.8 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Venue: Seddon Park, Hamilton (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    90 runs off 152 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 59.2 vs 65.2 overall, average 22.5 vs 47.0 overall.

  • Bowling type: UNKNOWN (FIRST CLASS)MEDIUM sample

    72 runs off 140 balls in 6 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 51.4 vs 65.2 overall, not yet dismissed vs 47.0 overall.

  • Opposition: Otago Volts (FIRST CLASS)LOW sample

    68 runs off 112 balls in 2 FIRST CLASS matches — strike rate 60.7 vs 65.2 overall, average 17.0 vs 47.0 overall.

Current projections

New Zealand v India
Twenty20 International
18.8 runs
median 1 · 90th percentile 63 · plays 49% · 22 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS4566952141.559.58.269.5HIGH
Wellington FirebirdsFIRST_CLASS669091257.575.712.369.1HIGH
Northern DistrictsFIRST_CLASS628445223.762.88.871.2HIGH
CanterburyFIRST_CLASS417831029.757.410.376.1HIGH
OtagoT20418712562.3149.620.832.8MEDIUM
Otago VoltsFIRST_CLASS26811217.060.712.580.4LOW
WellingtonT20614710029.4147.017.028.0LOW
Northern DistrictsT20318199181.0182.825.324.2LOW
CanterburyT2031458272.5176.823.224.4LOW
South AfricaT204936131.0152.516.427.9LOW
Central DistrictsT203564818.7116.714.641.7LOW
BangladeshT202633363.0190.924.221.2LOW
Multan SultansT2014931—158.122.632.3LOW

Bowling

Central StagsFIRST_CLASS482403.0—LOW

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS12998154449.964.610.271.1HIGH
Basin Reserve, WellingtonFIRST_CLASS230850077.061.69.674.8HIGH
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiFIRST_CLASS218426646.069.28.365.4MEDIUM
Fitzherbert Park, Palmerston NorthFIRST_CLASS218822894.082.512.358.8MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonFIRST_CLASS29015222.559.210.577.6MEDIUM
Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandT20522214744.4151.018.427.2MEDIUM
Seddon Park, HamiltonT20418310291.5179.424.524.5LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchT2041448048.0180.025.028.7LOW
Basin Reserve, WellingtonT203925346.0173.622.626.4LOW
University Oval, DunedinT2017851—152.923.537.3LOW
Hagley Oval, ChristchurchFIRST_CLASS218484.537.58.387.5LOW
McLean Park, NapierT203564818.7116.714.641.7LOW
National Stadium, KarachiT203513825.5134.215.844.7LOW
Gaddafi Stadium, LahoreT203513725.5137.818.937.8LOW
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaT202343617.094.48.344.4LOW
Harare Sports ClubT202443244.0137.512.525.0LOW
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurT2016231—200.025.819.4LOW

Bowling

Eden Park Outer Oval, AucklandFIRST_CLASS482403.0—LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownFIRST_CLASS221786273847.065.210.170.9HIGH
UnknownT2039106071136.6149.119.131.9HIGH
ZimbabweT202443244.0137.512.525.0LOW

Bowling

UnknownFIRST_CLASS482403.0—LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballFIRST_CLASS181618241657.867.010.370.0HIGH
middleT203363947658.1134.215.332.8HIGH
new_ballFIRST_CLASS1416832216.852.28.777.6HIGH
deathT202738220222.5189.126.726.7MEDIUM
powerplayT2010836541.5127.720.038.5LOW

Bowling

old_ballFIRST_CLASS482403.0—LOW

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACEFIRST_CLASS20910157241.457.99.574.7HIGH
SPINFIRST_CLASS16804102650.378.411.364.7HIGH
PACET203855535229.2157.721.331.8HIGH
SPINT203342030646.7137.315.732.0HIGH
UNKNOWNFIRST_CLASS672140—51.47.172.9MEDIUM
UNKNOWNT20121298564.5151.820.029.4LOW

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.