Cricket model performance
Every recommendation the models publish is recorded with its price at the time and settled against the real result. This page reports that record exactly as it stands — including while the cricket record is still being built.
The cricket model has no settled bets yet
We are already capturing live cricket prices — 9,818 prices across 3 matches so far — but the projection model that turns those prices into recommendations is still being built. The moment its first selection settles, its ROI and win rate will appear here. Until then we show nothing rather than a number we cannot stand behind.
How the cricket model tests against past matches
Before a single tip is published, the model replays finished matches using only the information that existed the morning of each game, and is scored against what actually happened. These are those results — the checks it still has to pass are listed with them.
T20 matches
Tips not published yet188 matches tested, 1 Jan 2025 – 12 Oct 2025
- Match-winner accuracy vs a coin flip
- not better
- Average miss on a team total
- 31.9 runs
- Runs too high (+) or too low (−)
- -7.4
- Real totals inside the projected range
- 83%
Still to pass
- Match-winner accuracy (0.7172) is no better than the coin-flip baseline (0.6931).
- Calibration slope -0.04 is outside the accepted band.
ODI matches
Tips not published yet29 matches tested, 16 Jul 2025 – 1 Mar 2026
- Match-winner accuracy vs a coin flip
- not better
- Average miss on a team total
- 62.5 runs
- Runs too high (+) or too low (−)
- +3.8
- Real totals inside the projected range
- 79%
Still to pass
- Only 29 backtested matches; 150 needed.
- Match-winner accuracy (0.7509) is no better than the coin-flip baseline (0.6931).
- Calibration slope -0.26 is outside the accepted band.
Cricket vs football
The football model has a live, fully settled record. Both models are measured the same way — one unit staked per selection at the price recorded when it was published.
Cricket model
- Settled selections
- 0
- Win rate
- —
- ROI (level stakes)
- —
- Profit (units)
- —
- Record window
- —
Football model
- Settled selections
- 692
- Win rate
- 80.9%(560 winners)
- ROI (level stakes)
- +130.7%
- Profit (units)
- +904.6
- Record window
- 5 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
Football record by market
| card minutes | 307 | 86.0% | +106.7% |
| goal minutes | 178 | 87.6% | +387.4% |
| player performance | 113 | 58.4% | -110.9% |
| shots on target | 94 | 78.7% | +13.8% |
ROI is calculated on a level one-unit stake per settled selection, at the price recorded when the selection was published. Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ only — please gamble responsibly.